Leverage Shares 2X Long CNC Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
82.67%
increased by 0.04%
1 Week
82.74%
increased by 0.11%
1 Month
82.98%
increased by 0.35%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6732 | 2.55** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9813 | 5.65*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -33.9558 | -0.59 |
| γ2 | 43.8904 | 0.59 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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