VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
36.87%
decreased by 1.63%
1 Week
35.12%
decreased by 3.38%
1 Month
30.13%
decreased by 8.37%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.12 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0600 | 25.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1732 | 37.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8087 | 164.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1328 | 12.35*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1226 | 39.50*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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