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V-Lab

VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

43.60%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

44.44%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

46.72%

increased by 2.25%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2870
6.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0799
5.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8650
41.69***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0646
0.36
γ2-0.2240
-0.77
γ30.3371
1.79*
γ4-0.3266
-2.50**
γ50.3411
3.00***
γ6-0.2672
-2.44**
γ70.2083
2.02**
γ8-0.2781
-3.71***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days