Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

45.02%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

44.89%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Month

44.61%

decreased by 1.54%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2007 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 296% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 296% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow101
αARCH0.0280
1.93*
βGARCH0.8636
57.29***
γleverage0.0831
3.60***
λ₁tau intercept0.0085
0.87
λ₂forecast adj.0.1913
2.00**
λ₃tau persistence0.8087
8.87***

0.933

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0280
1.93*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8636
57.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0831
3.60***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0085
0.87
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1913
2.00**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8087
8.87***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days