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V-Lab

VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.62%

increased by 0.72%

1 Week

42.14%

increased by 1.24%

1 Month

43.88%

increased by 2.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 301% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0280
7.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8628
194.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0842
15.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0086
2.57**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1912
26.10***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8088
136.93***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days