V-Lab
VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026
1 Day
45.02%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Week
44.89%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Month
44.61%
decreased by 1.54%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2007 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 296% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 296% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 101 | |
| αARCH | 0.0280 | 1.93* |
| βGARCH | 0.8636 | 57.29*** |
| γleverage | 0.0831 | 3.60*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0085 | 0.87 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1913 | 2.00** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8087 | 8.87*** |
0.933
Persistence10d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0280 | 1.93* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8636 | 57.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0831 | 3.60*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0085 | 0.87 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1913 | 2.00** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8087 | 8.87*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
Other VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs