V-Lab
VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
42.97%
decreased by 1.27%
1 Week
42.93%
decreased by 1.31%
1 Month
43.80%
decreased by 0.44%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 290% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0285 | 8.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8634 | 194.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0827 | 15.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0086 | 2.57** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1927 | 26.26*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8073 | 135.67*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
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