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V-Lab

State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

16.56%

decreased by 1.53%

1 Week

15.11%

decreased by 2.98%

1 Month

11.75%

decreased by 6.34%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.67 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0387
27.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2135
60.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7584
191.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1377
20.41***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6718
14.33***

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days