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State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

13.20%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

13.28%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Month

13.55%

decreased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 60% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 60% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0284
6.07***
αARCH0.1565
6.88***
βGARCH0.7618
52.84***
γleverage0.0944
2.31**

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0284
6.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1565
6.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7618
52.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0944
2.31**

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days