iShares MSCI Canada ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
11.72%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
12.14%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
13.61%
increased by 1.85%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 80% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0260 | 25.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1084 | 24.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8381 | 250.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0862 | 11.84*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
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