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iShares MSCI Canada ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.44%

increased by 2.06%

1 Week

15.60%

increased by 2.22%

1 Month

16.20%

increased by 2.82%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Canada ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0196
4.15***
αARCH0.0206
2.74***
βGARCH0.9181
124.72***
γleverage0.1028
5.41***

0.990

Persistence

69d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0196
4.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0206
2.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9181
124.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1028
5.41***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days