iShares MSCI Germany ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
15.33%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
15.74%
increased by 0.18%
1 Month
17.16%
increased by 1.60%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 112% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0400 | 26.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1010 | 30.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8275 | 289.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1127 | 15.20*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
Other iShares MSCI Germany ETF Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on ETFs