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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares US Real Estate ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

14.15%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

14.35%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Month

14.96%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares US Real Estate ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2000 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.74 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 40% more than positive returnsδ = 1.74 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0412
7.32***
αARCH0.2178
12.15***
βGARCH0.7615
48.59***
γleverage0.0971
3.27***
δpower1.7406
3.76***

0.962

Persistence

18d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0412
7.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2178
12.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7615
48.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0971
3.27***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7406
3.76***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days