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V-Lab

iShares US Real Estate ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

13.91%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

14.23%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

15.31%

increased by 1.28%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares US Real Estate ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.37) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0176
2.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1038
9.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8787
77.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3692
5.10***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days