V-Lab
iShares US Real Estate ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
12.28%
decreased by 0.57%
1 Week
12.81%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
14.49%
increased by 1.64%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0414 | 7.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1801 | 6.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7572 | 49.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0780 | 1.84* |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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