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V-Lab

iShares US Real Estate ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

12.15%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Week

12.49%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

13.65%

increased by 1.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares US Real Estate ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 187% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0252
21.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0523
16.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8841
337.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0981
13.95***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days