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V-Lab

iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

7.33%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

8.30%

increased by 0.29%

1 Month

8.58%

increased by 0.57%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2091
11.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0189
0.98
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5584
2.89***

Persistence:

0.298

Half-life:

1 days