iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
7.33%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Week
8.30%
increased by 0.29%
1 Month
8.58%
increased by 0.57%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2091 | 11.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0189 | 0.98 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5584 | 2.89*** |
Persistence:
0.298
Half-life:
1 days
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