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V-Lab

iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4.20%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

4.90%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

11.96%

increased by 7.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0236
1.16
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9673
92.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0072
-0.63
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0344
0.46
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.34

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days