V-Lab
iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
7.91%
increased by 0.53%
1 Week
8.05%
increased by 0.67%
1 Month
8.07%
increased by 0.69%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 224% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -1.5604 | -13.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4228 | 11.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | -0.1549 | -1.82* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2233 | -6.33*** |
Persistence:
-0.155
Half-life:
-
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