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V-Lab

iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

6.14%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Week

5.56%

decreased by 1.37%

1 Month

4.44%

decreased by 2.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0435
3.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3414
14.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6231
26.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1809
4.61***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
3.47***

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days