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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

30.02%

increased by 1.05%

1 Week

29.45%

increased by 0.48%

1 Month

27.74%

decreased by 1.23%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.23 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0706
12.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1823
52.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8063
204.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1191
19.59***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2336
16.64***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days