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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

32.71%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

33.22%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

34.81%

increased by 1.56%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 22, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 307% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0210
2.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9121
121.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0644
11.68***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.2486
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days