V-Lab
State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
32.49%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Week
32.94%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
34.34%
increased by 1.33%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 22, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 349% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1963 | 2.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0184 | 1.93* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9168 | 189.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0644 | 1.97** |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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