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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

32.49%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

32.94%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

34.34%

increased by 1.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 22, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 349% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1963
2.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0184
1.93*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9168
189.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0644
1.97**

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days