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V-Lab

Pacer Metaurus Nq100 DIV 600 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

21.28%

decreased by 1.07%

1 Week

21.03%

decreased by 1.32%

1 Month

20.32%

decreased by 2.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Pacer Metaurus Nq100 DIV 600 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0887
4.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8617
47.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1525
3.60***

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days