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V-Lab

Pacer Metaurus Nq100 DIV 600 MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

22.25%

increased by 0.05%

1 Week

22.12%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

22.11%

decreased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Pacer Metaurus Nq100 DIV 600 MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7839
14.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0939
4.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0348
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1101
1.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8899
2.14**

Persistence:

0.831

Half-life:

4 days