Baron Technology ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
39.81%
decreased by 1.57%
1 Week
39.01%
decreased by 2.37%
1 Month
36.70%
decreased by 4.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2312 | 0.67 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8915 | 4.60*** |
| γleverage | 0.1014 | 0.35 |
0.942
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2312 | 0.67 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8915 | 4.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1014 | 0.35 |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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