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V-Lab

Baron Technology ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

32.77%

increased by 0.81%

1 Week

32.49%

increased by 0.53%

1 Month

31.82%

decreased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Baron Technology ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 34.18 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.7913
14.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0640
4.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9173
13.26***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

34.1803
0.08

Persistence:

0.917

Half-life:

8 days