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Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

13.70%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

13.70%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

13.70%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7453
0.66
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9566
0.01
νDF200.0000
0.00

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7453
0.66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9566
0.01
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days