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Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

13.44%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

13.49%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

13.59%

increased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7428
6.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0194
0.12
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8808
5.82***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.881

Half-life:

5 days