Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
398.37%
decreased by 25.20%
1 Week
395.95%
decreased by 27.62%
1 Month
387.01%
decreased by 36.56%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 49-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.57 |
| αARCH | 0.0621 | 0.75 |
| βGARCH | 0.8674 | 16.18*** |
| γleverage | 0.1128 | 0.56 |
0.986
Persistence49d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0621 | 0.75 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8674 | 16.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1128 | 0.56 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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