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Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

155.88%

decreased by 5.08%

1 Week

159.42%

decreased by 1.54%

1 Month

170.71%

increased by 9.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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6M ·

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graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.49
αARCH0.0620
0.75
βGARCH0.8874
15.66***
γleverage0.0448
0.25

0.972

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.49
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0620
0.75
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8874
15.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0448
0.25

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days