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Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

165.25%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

167.81%

increased by 1.71%

1 Month

175.95%

increased by 9.85%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.66
αARCH0.0685
0.78
βGARCH0.8763
15.86***
γleverage0.0503
0.27

0.970

Persistence

23d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0685
0.78
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8763
15.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0503
0.27

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days