Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
165.25%
decreased by 0.85%
1 Week
167.81%
increased by 1.71%
1 Month
175.95%
increased by 9.85%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.66 |
| αARCH | 0.0685 | 0.78 |
| βGARCH | 0.8763 | 15.86*** |
| γleverage | 0.0503 | 0.27 |
0.970
Persistence23d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.66 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0685 | 0.78 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8763 | 15.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0503 | 0.27 |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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