V-Lab
Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
206.49%
decreased by 7.15%
1 Week
213.54%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Month
226.69%
increased by 13.05%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8886 | 4.23*** |
| αARCH | 0.0945 | 1.52 |
| βGARCH | 0.7851 | 5.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.6727 | -0.49 |
0.880
Persistence5d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8886 | 4.23*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0945 | 1.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7851 | 5.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.6727 | -0.49 |
Persistence:
0.880
Half-life:
5 days
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