V-Lab
Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
186.72%
decreased by 5.22%
1 Week
192.46%
increased by 0.52%
1 Month
205.24%
increased by 13.30%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5558 | 1.00 |
| αARCH | 0.1734 | 1.52 |
| βGARCH | 0.8940 | 8.59*** |
| γleverage | -0.0612 | -0.53 |
0.894
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5558 | 1.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1734 | 1.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8940 | 8.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0612 | -0.53 |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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