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V-Lab

Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

197.63%

decreased by 1.76%

1 Week

187.57%

decreased by 11.82%

1 Month

160.30%

decreased by 39.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-lifeδ = 0.50 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1149
0.20
αARCH0.1428
3.49***
βGARCH0.8364
15.94***
γleverage-0.0550
-0.43
δpower0.5000
0.28

0.954

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1149
0.20
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1428
3.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8364
15.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0550
-0.43
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
0.28

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days