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V-Lab

Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

204.67%

increased by 1.59%

1 Week

206.95%

increased by 3.87%

1 Month

214.83%

increased by 11.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.08
αARCH0.1403
0.94
βGARCH0.8410
19.23***

0.981

Persistence

37d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.08
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1403
0.94
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8410
19.23***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days