V-Lab
Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
204.67%
increased by 1.59%
1 Week
206.95%
increased by 3.87%
1 Month
214.83%
increased by 11.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.08 |
| αARCH | 0.1403 | 0.94 |
| βGARCH | 0.8410 | 19.23*** |
0.981
Persistence37d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.08 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1403 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8410 | 19.23*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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