Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

181.97%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Week

180.83%

decreased by 1.77%

1 Month

178.12%

decreased by 4.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1708
5.43***
αARCH0.0118
0.42
βGARCH0.9023
5.18***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.6709
1.26

0.914

Persistence

8d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1708
5.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0118
0.42
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9023
5.18***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.6709
1.26

Persistence:

0.914

Half-life:

8 days