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V-Lab
V-Lab

Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

125.66%

decreased by 2.35%

1 Week

128.42%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

137.01%

increased by 9.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.4338
1.09
αARCH0.1062
0.72
βGARCH0.9049
21.50***
γleverage-0.0860
-0.50

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4338
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1062
0.72
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9049
21.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0860
-0.50

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days