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V-Lab

Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

203.22%

increased by 6.16%

1 Week

203.42%

increased by 6.36%

1 Month

204.07%

increased by 7.01%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1370
0.37
αARCH-0.1624
-0.35
βGARCH0.9733
42.87***
γleverage0.0551
0.38

0.973

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1370
0.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.1624
-0.35
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9733
42.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0551
0.38

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days