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Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

140.45%

increased by 1.46%

1 Week

140.82%

increased by 1.83%

1 Month

142.00%

increased by 3.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.0925
0.32
αARCH0.1201
0.91
βGARCH0.8432
12.64***

0.963

Persistence

19d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.0925
0.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1201
0.91
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8432
12.64***

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

19 days