V-Lab
Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
39.64%
decreased by 1.20%
1 Week
42.97%
increased by 2.13%
1 Month
51.00%
increased by 10.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9503 | 14.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2191 | 18.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7264 | 87.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0103 | -0.49 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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