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V-Lab

Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

49.24%

increased by 1.13%

1 Week

49.94%

increased by 1.83%

1 Month

52.18%

increased by 4.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 21, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 15.98 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.5886
11.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0457
8.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9717
157.15***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

15.9810
0.52

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days