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V-Lab

Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

49.11%

increased by 0.71%

1 Week

49.72%

increased by 1.32%

1 Month

51.67%

increased by 3.27%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 21, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4154
5.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0402
6.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9286
106.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0013
0.11

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days