V-Lab
Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
49.11%
increased by 0.71%
1 Week
49.72%
increased by 1.32%
1 Month
51.67%
increased by 3.27%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4154 | 5.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0402 | 6.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9286 | 106.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0013 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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