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V-Lab

Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

36.87%

decreased by 2.21%

1 Week

36.06%

decreased by 3.02%

1 Month

33.19%

decreased by 5.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0288
9.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0089
1.56
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8843
199.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1579
13.32***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days