V-Lab
Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
36.87%
decreased by 2.21%
1 Week
36.06%
decreased by 3.02%
1 Month
33.19%
decreased by 5.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0288 | 9.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0089 | 1.56 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8843 | 199.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1579 | 13.32*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
25 days
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