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V-Lab

Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

65.19%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

66.95%

increased by 1.35%

1 Month

70.13%

increased by 4.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 25, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6827
3.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0227
1.37
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7821
20.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1343
2.69***

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days