Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
65.19%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
66.95%
increased by 1.35%
1 Month
70.13%
increased by 4.53%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 25, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6827 | 3.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0227 | 1.37 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7821 | 20.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1343 | 2.69*** |
Persistence:
0.872
Half-life:
5 days
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