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V-Lab

Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Friday, August 21st, 2026):

1 Day

9.29%

1 Week

45,183.96%

1 Month

303,110,296,756,807,660,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 25, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0011
0.15
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9283
98.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0623
11.39***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.11
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0117
8.28***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
5.00***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days