Skip to main content
V-Lab

Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

45.63%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

50.90%

increased by 5.27%

1 Month

52.27%

increased by 6.64%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 25, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
13.95***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
5.05***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0922
0.81

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days