V-Lab
Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Friday, August 21st, 2026):
1 Day
9.29%
1 Week
45,183.96%
1 Month
303,110,296,756,807,660,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 25, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0011 | 0.15 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9283 | 98.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0623 | 11.39*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0117 | 8.28*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 5.00*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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