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V-Lab

Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

18.18%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

18.17%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

18.15%

decreased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0287
0.76
αARCH0.1110
3.00***
βGARCH0.8668
30.41***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0287
0.76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1110
3.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8668
30.41***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days