Eventide International ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
26.92%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
26.94%
increased by 0.03%
1 Month
27.01%
increased by 0.10%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0674 | 0.04 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9774 | 0.58 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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