V-Lab
Eventide International ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
20.88%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
20.97%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
21.30%
increased by 0.26%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0214 | 5.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9692 | 65.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0455 | 1.62 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
86 days
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