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V-Lab

Eventide International ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

16.21%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

16.34%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Month

16.81%

increased by 0.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Eventide International ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 17, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0289
8.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9489
76.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0638
1.71*

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days