V-Lab
Eventide International ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
16.21%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
16.34%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
16.81%
increased by 0.41%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0289 | 8.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9489 | 76.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0638 | 1.71* |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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