Skip to main content
V-Lab

Eventide International ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

16.82%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

16.78%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Month

16.65%

decreased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Eventide International ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 17, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.78 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0507
2.21**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0610
1.76*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9591
68.32***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.7845
0.57

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days