V-Lab
Eventide International ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.21%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
290,951.54%
increased by 290,949.29%
1 Month
1,066,410,221,256,341,800,000,000,000.00%
increased by 1,066,410,221,256,341,800,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0491 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6839 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2295 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0528 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 |
Persistence:
0.848
Half-life:
4 days
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