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V-Lab

Eventide International ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

2.21%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

290,951.54%

increased by 290,949.29%

1 Month

1,066,410,221,256,341,800,000,000,000.00%

increased by 1,066,410,221,256,341,800,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Eventide International ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 17, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0491
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6839
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2295
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0528
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000

Persistence:

0.848

Half-life:

4 days