T Rowe Price Long Municipal Income ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5.65%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
5.68%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
5.77%
increased by 0.10%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 21, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0071 | 3.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0216 | 0.95 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9389 | 44.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0216 | -0.62 |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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