T Rowe Price Long Municipal Income ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
4.63%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
4.56%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Month
4.41%
decreased by 0.45%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.2876), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.2462 | -3.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0040 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9069 | 7.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2876 | -13.07*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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