V-Lab
PMV Adaptive Risk Parity ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
6.93%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Week
8.09%
increased by 0.90%
1 Month
10.23%
increased by 3.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 22, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0560 | 16.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1921 | 7.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5944 | 39.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2383 | 2.90*** |
Persistence:
0.906
Half-life:
7 days
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