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V-Lab

PMV Adaptive Risk Parity ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

6.93%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Week

8.09%

increased by 0.90%

1 Month

10.23%

increased by 3.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PMV Adaptive Risk Parity ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0560
16.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1921
7.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5944
39.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2383
2.90***

Persistence:

0.906

Half-life:

7 days