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V-Lab

Columbia Research Enhanced Small Cap ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

16.00%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

16.29%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

17.13%

increased by 0.95%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Columbia Research Enhanced Small Cap ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0621
2.17**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9180
37.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0796
1.63

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days