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V-Lab

Columbia Research Enhanced Small Cap ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

4.61%

decreased by 3.35%

1 Week

20,488,389,160.69%

increased by 20,488,389,152.73%

1 Month

97,598,325,805,312,860,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 97,598,325,805,312,860,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Columbia Research Enhanced Small Cap ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.15
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
32.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1327
38.96***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.11

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days